As everyone is quite plainly aware of by now, Lebanon is, once again, on the receiving end of some pretty nasty violence. This time, it’s a small terrorist group known as Fatah Al-Islam, based inside a Palestinan refugee camp.
The problem is that these guys seem to be armed pretty gosh-darn well. They have night-vision goggles, strong weapons, good tactics, and maybe even anti-aircraft guns.
Is Al Qaeda behind this group? Well, it’s possible: http://counterterrorismblog.org/2007/05/fatah_alislam_alqaida_or_not_a.php#trackbacks
At the very least, they seem ideologically linked to Al Qaeda. My guess: A small, well-trained group of soldiers, conducting a bank robbery in Lebanon, operating in Iraq, controlling a refugee camp in Lebanon, with convicted terrorists from Europe. Sounds like they’re really only using Lebanon as a safe base to mount operations in Iraq, as opposed to trying to destabilize Lebanon.